Zvi Mowshowitz: AI ([AGI]) and and the Technological Richter Scale. The Technological Richter scale is introduced about 80% of the way through Nate Silver’s new book On the Edge. (more)

Matt Southey: A Brief History of Accelerationism. “Accelerationism” is a deeply confused term. As a philosophical category, it dates to 2008, and yet it has already become overloaded with conflicting meanings. Depending on the context, it refers to a capitalist ideology, a communist theory of change, and a form of white-nationalist terrorism. (more)

Who Is @BasedBeffJezos, The Leader Of The Tech Elite’s ‘E/Acc’ Movement? Forbes has learned that Guillaume Verdon, the founder of stealth AI startup Extropic and a former Google engineer, is behind the provocative Twitter account leading the “effective accelerationism” movement sweeping Silicon Valley. (more)

complete eliminination of a species (more)

Climate Change SciFi by Kim Stanley Robinson: ISBN:978-0316300131 (more)

TESCREAL is an acronym neologism, proposed and advocated by computer scientist Timnit Gebru and philosopher Émile P. Torres, standing for transhumanism, extropianism, singularity-arianism, cosmism, rationalism, effective altruism, and longtermism.[1] Gebru and Torres argue that these ideologies should be treated as an "interconnected and overlapping" group with shared origins.[1] Gebru and Torres allege this movement allows its proponents to use the threat of human extinction to justify societally expensive or detrimental projects. They consider it pervasive in social and academic circles in Silicon Valley centered around artificial intelligence (AGI).[2] As such, the acronym is sometimes used to criticize a perceived belief system associated with Big Tech. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singularitarianism

Jon Udell: Welcome to the Sapiezoic. The latest Long Now podcast, by David Grinspoon, takes a very long view indeed. As we transition from the Holocene to the Anthropocene, he thinks, we’re not just entering a new geological epoch, as shown here: (more)

The Anthropocene was a rejected proposal for a geological epoch following the Holocene... The proposal located potential stratigraphic markers to the mid-20th century.[11][10][12] This time period coincides with the start of the Great Acceleration, a post-World War II time period during which global population growth, pollution and exploitation of natural resources have all increased at a dramatic rate.[13] The Atomic Age also started around the mid-20th century, when the risks of nuclear wars, nuclear terrorism and nuclear accidents increased... In March 2024, after 15 years of deliberation, the Anthropocene Epoch proposal of the AWG was voted down by a wide margin by the SQS, owing largely to its shallow sedimentary record and extremely recent proposed start date.[16][17] The ICS and the IUGS later formally confirmed, by a near unanimous vote, the rejection of the AWG's Anthropocene Epoch proposal for inclusion in the Geologic Time Scale.[4][5][6] The IUGS statement on the rejection concluded: "Despite its rejection as a formal unit of the Geologic Time Scale, Anthropocene will nevertheless continue to be used not only by Earth and environmental scientists, but also by social scientists, politicians and economists, as well as by the public at large. It will remain an invaluable descriptor of human impact on the Earth system."... An early concept for the Anthropocene was the Noosphere by Vladimir Vernadsky, who in 1938 wrote of "scientific thought as a geological force".[18] Scientists in the Soviet Union appear to have used the term Anthropocene as early as the 1960s to refer to the Quaternary, the most recent geological period.[19] Ecologist Eugene F. Stoermer subsequently used Anthropocene with a different sense in the 1980s[20][21] and the term was widely popularised in 2000 by atmospheric chemist Paul J. Crutzen,[3][22] who regards the influence of human behavior on Earth's atmosphere in recent centuries as so significant as to constitute a new geological epoch. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthropocene

odds of human extinction (or at least really bad/deep collapse), most often because of hostile AGI

David Brin idea/patent for Disputation Arena. 2006-11-06-BrinBrownGoogleTalk (more)

In cognitive science and neuropsychology, executive functions (collectively referred to as executive function and cognitive control) are a set of cognitive processes that support goal-directed behavior, by regulating thoughts and actions through cognitive control, selecting and successfully monitoring actions that facilitate the attainment of chosen objectives. Executive functions include basic cognitive processes such as attentional control, cognitive inhibition, inhibitory control, working memory, and cognitive flexibility. Higher-order executive functions require the simultaneous use of multiple basic executive functions and include planning and fluid intelligence (e.g., reasoning and problem-solving). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Executive_functions

Genius? (more)

Seth Stephens-Davidowitz: The One Parenting Decision That Really Matters. How much do parents matter? (Raising Kids) (more)

small Residential area (more)

At some point we'll want to move, and I want to think through a climate change future. (more)

neighborhood quality data https://www.opportunityatlas.org/

Tyler Cowen venture (more)

cf Huge Invention, Bold, Exponential Idea, 10x; Change the World; Phase Change; Moonshot; BandWagon (later/lesser case?) (more)

Tyler Cowen: My Personal Moonshot I have tried to take with my own career. My goal is to be the economist who has most successfully used the internet as a platform to foment broad enlightenment. (more)

Desire... (more)